Part 1 of 4: What is Technical Analysis?

Introduction

Traders may use different approaches to analyze markets, including technical analysis and fundamental analysis. While a fundamental approach concentrates on balance sheets and economic data, technical traders rely on price action and math-powered indicators to illustrate and interpret the market.

Cryptocurrency markets are known for volatility, and some traders use charts to look for trends, patterns, and changes in market behaviour. Markets such as Bitcoin, Ether, and Chainlink are examples of crypto assets where traders may apply technical analysis, but chart patterns do not reliably predict future prices and losses can occur. 

Some people assume technical analysis is only for experts with advanced statistics training, but the basics can be learned by beginners. Cryptocurrency technical analysis interprets the data with charts and graphs, putting the focus on pattern recognition and visual analysis rather than complex number-crunching. Because many tools are chart-based, you do not need advanced mathematics to get started, but basic concepts (like percentages, risk, and volatility) are still helpful.

This guide explores the world of crypto technical analysis and how to use charts and price action to navigate digital currency markets.
 

What Is Technical Analysis?

Technical analysis is an approach to trading that involves using past and current market data to inform trading decisions. Modern charting tools can make technical analysis feel new, but many of its core concepts have existed for well over a century.

Candlestick patterns date back to around 1850 when a Japanese rice merchant named Homma Munehisa invented the method of visualizing price data. Early Wall Street traders like Charles Dow developed technical analysis, using ticker tapes and point-and-figure charts drawn with pencils to create the strategies traders still use today.

Technical analysis in cryptocurrency may sound modern, but many of its tools and concepts are long-established. This article explains how traders use charts and indicators to interpret market behaviour, while noting that technical analysis does not guarantee outcomes.
 

Who Uses Technical Analysis?

This article focuses on cryptocurrency technical analysis, but traders use the same tools and strategies in all types of markets. Charts and indicators can inform decisions about entries and exits, and some traders also use them for risk management, position sizing, and timing.
Technical approaches are common in forex and futures markets, and traders adopt them for stocks, ETFs, commodities, and, of course, cryptocurrencies.

Why do some traders use TA across different markets? It relies on historical price and volume behaviour to identify patterns and trends that may reappear. However, patterns are not guaranteed, and market conditions can change quickly, especially in crypto markets.
 

Timeframes for Cryptocurrency Technical Analysis

Technical analysis is often used in short-term trading, such as day trading. Day traders may look at price action, volume, and momentum indicators when evaluating possible entry and exit points. Some short-term traders also monitor price reversals, support and resistance levels, or other chart-based signals. However, these signals can fail, and short-term trading can involve significant risk, especially in volatile crypto markets.

Long-term participants who buy and hold assets for months or years may also use technical analysis as one input when deciding when to trade. Their decision may involve fundamental factors, market conditions, and personal risk tolerance, while technical analysis may be used to review price trends or market behaviour.

Regardless of timeframe, some traders use technical analysis as part of a broader risk-management approach alongside other tools and controls. Technical analysis does not guarantee better outcomes, and past price patterns do not reliably predict future results.
 

Technical Analysis vs Fundamental Analysis

Some traders may use both fundamental analysis and technical analysis. In crypto markets, “tokenomics” is one input to fundamental analysis, but it is not the same thing as fundamental analysis.

Technical Analysis (TA) and Fundamental Analysis (FA) are two different approaches used to evaluate the market.
Whereas Technical Analysis uses objective statistics generated by market behavior, such as past price action and volume, Fundamental Analysis, on the other hand, uses underlying economic, financial, and other qualitative and quantitative factors. TA traders often use historical data to form hypotheses about potential future price behaviour, but past performance does not reliably predict future results. (They use charts and other tools to identify patterns and trends that can indicate buy or sell signals…) Whereas FA proponents believe that the true value of an asset can only be determined by analyzing the underlying fundamentals of a company, commodity, or economy to which it is subject. (They use financial statements, economic indicators, and other data to make investment decisions.)

Both Technical and Fundamental Analysis have their own advantages and disadvantages, and many traders use some combination of both.
 

Here are the key differences:

  • Different research tools.
  • Fundamental analysis focuses on balance sheets, financial reports, earnings, economic data, and pricing information. It might also include news reports about major changes and economic policy announcements.
  • Technical analysis focuses on charts, historical prices, market depth, and indicators. Except for market depth data, these tools are all visual rather than numerical.
  • Different guiding philosophies.
  • Fundamental analysis seeks to estimate the intrinsic value of an asset. In crypto markets, this can include factors such as network usage, token supply mechanics, governance, and issuer or protocol risks.
     

Technical analysis uses statistical, and visual tools to assess the market. The idea is that all fundamental factors are reflected in technical data, including anything you might have missed during fundamental analysis.For crypto assets, fundamental analysis can be challenging because information quality varies and narratives move quickly. Some market participants rely more heavily on technical analysis, while others combine both approaches.


Disclaimer: This article is not intended to provide investment, legal, accounting, tax, or any other advice and should not be relied on in that or any other regard. The information contained herein is for information purposes only and is not to be construed as an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of cryptocurrencies or otherwise.